PREDICTIVE MODELS APPLIED IN EDUCATION: CASES OF DROPPING OUT OF STUDY

Authors

  • Luis Cedeño-Valarezo Grupo de Investigación SISCOM, Carrera de Computación, ESPAM MFL. Calceta, Ecuador.
  • Jessica Morales-Carrillo Grupo de Investigación SISCOM, Carrera de Computación, ESPAM MFL. Calceta, Ecuador.
  • Carlos Pierre Quijije-Vera Grupo de Investigación SISCOM, Carrera de Computación, ESPAM MFL. Calceta, Ecuador.
  • Sandro Antonio Palau-Delgado Grupo de Investigación SISCOM, Carrera de Computación, ESPAM MFL. Calceta, Ecuador.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.56124/encriptar.v5i10.0050

Keywords:

Student desertion, Student repetition, Data mining, Predictive model

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to analyze data from a review of scientific articles based on predictive models used in education, with specificity in cases of study abandonment to identify the most efficient model according to the frequency of use. The systematic review methodology was used applying a meta-analysis, starting with the definition of keywords, then criteria such as the specification of the technique and the type of learning of a certain model were integrated. Finally, statistical tests were performed based on the precision of each one. It was evidenced that the decision trees obtained a mean precision of 86.49% with a standard deviation of 9% in 53 cases found. In addition, the neural network and random forest models reached mean precision values of 89.18% and 91.33%, standard deviation of 5.90% and 3.08% in 7 and 8 cases respectively.

Keywords: Student desertion, Student repetition, Data mining, Predictive model.

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References

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Published

2022-07-09

How to Cite

Cedeño-Valarezo, L., Morales-Carrillo, J., Quijije-Vera, C. P., & Palau-Delgado, S. A. (2022). PREDICTIVE MODELS APPLIED IN EDUCATION: CASES OF DROPPING OUT OF STUDY. Scientific Journal of Informatics ENCRYPT - ISSN: 2737-6389., 5(10), 2–12. https://doi.org/10.56124/encriptar.v5i10.0050